☔ Mr Chirp's Thursday Night Football Rams vs Seahawks PREVIEW

What’s good Chirp Fam! Hope everyone has been enjoying their week thus far. We’re almost at the home stretch for the holidays and man Professor Chirpy could use some GIFTS right now. 2-4 on the MNF game, we’ll look to bounce back tonight in this one.

Today, we’ll all be tuned in for a behemoth of a matchup between the Seattle Seahawks and the LA Rams on TNF. This could be a contender for most important game of the season, so strap the fuck in and let’s get straight to it. If you’re new here and like what you see, subscribe to never miss a newsletter.

If you’ve been living under a fuckin rock, I’ll be the 1st to let you know that stud WR Davante Adams is going to miss this one for the Rams. Davante ranks first in the league in receiving TD’s this year with 14. He’ll be extremely missed for Staffdaddy and the Rams offense tonight in a matchup that might decide byes and home field advantage in January.

Davante actually hadn’t gotten in the end zone in the past 2 games after going 6 straight with a score and 4 out of those 6 with 2+ TD’s. Despite his lack of end zone dances the past couple of games, Stafford has still put up 324 yards and 2.5 TD per game in those matchups.

Oh yeah, the Rams are also averaging an insane 35 PPG in their last 8 games. The lowest scoring affair in that time period was a month ago against the Hawks when they squeaked out a 21-19 home nail biter. Since that matchup, Seattle is 4-0 and their defense has been playing lights out.

The 12th man is allowing just 8.33 PPG in the last 3 games. Seattle’s defensive unit is an all around nightmare for opposing teams. They get to the QB at a top 5 rate in the NFL led by Leonard Williams, Byron Murphy, Uchenna Nwosu, and DeMarcus Lawrence up-front.

In the back end of their D, rookie safety Nick Emmanwori is a strong candidate for DROY doing everything from 2.5 sacks, 7 TFL’s, 11 pass breakups and causing havoc all over. Devon Witherspoon is also PFF’s top rated CB on the year right now.

The rush defense is top 3 in the league only behind Jacksonville and Denver and the passing defense is right there with it, allowing the least amount of yards per pass attempt in football. One strange anomaly on the pass unit’s season is that they’re allowing 30 less yards per game through the air on the road than at home.

In the previous matchup between these two teams, Stafford had his worst game of the season, still throwing 2 TD’s and not turning it over at all, but just completing slightly over 50% of his throws for 130 yards. On the other side, Sammy big nuts Darnold threw 4 putrid INT’s in his worst game of the year and they still only lost by 2 points.

Even with Adams out, the Rams have been running the most 3 tight end sets of anyone in the league this year and having great success with it. That is, except against the Hawks. In that matchup the tight ends only caught 3 balls for 35 yards and a score. For context, last week the TE’s went 9-97-2.

Seattle has been hot and cold against TE’s. Last week against stud rookie TE Tyler Warren he caught just 3 of 6 targets for 19 yards. The 3 games prior to that, the opposing teams TE’s led the team in receiving yards each of those weeks.

It’s tough to say who will step up in the receiving game in Davante’s absence. Could it be Kyren, or more targets for big boy Puka? Or will it be a Parkinson legacy game? All I know is that the Rams WR’s not named Puka or Davante are averaging less than 2 targets a game on the year (combined).

This one is such a toss-up. Both of these teams get sacked at the lowest rates in football taking just 1.3 and 1.4 a game respectively. Both defenses are top 3 in the league in points allowed per game.

They’re both super efficient on offense, the biggest discrepancies are probably in the turnover game where Seattle gives it away 1.6 times per game, 2nd worst in the league. Albeit, this comes down to a few blow up outlier games, but with Darnold you never know when you might get that.

The Rams are also the least penalized team in the NFL. They’re as disciplined as they come and don’t make many mistakes. In a cold, windy, possibly rainy Seattle night game in prime time this could be the difference between a 1 seed home advantage throughout vs. an uphill battle kick in the nuts if you take this L.

I really want to roll with the Rams here because I think they are a better team all around. But I think this matchup and with Davante missing this one, and the fact that it’s in SEATTLE will prove the difference here.

I don’t expect to see anything particularly pretty from this one, but I think that Darnold will have a bounce back in the biggest regular season game of his career so far. Remember, the Hawks lost by just 2 on the road previously against the Rams despite 4 picks.

I think the Hawks pull this one out 26-20. Also putting my fantasy life on the line with some JSN hope. I think McVay is going to pepper Kyren in this one despite Seattle’s strong rush D. He usually rolls with his workhorse in these tougher matchups and I think Corum should see less than 10 carries despite getting 12 and 11 the past 2 weeks.

Mr Chirp’s Picks:

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-Mr Chirp